Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.263917 1.553026 1.931380 2.481673 3.297575 4.531638 6.705807
2025-11-23 0.870751 1.166602 1.612795 2.393564 3.888438 7.145674 17.617084
2025-11-30 0.710695 1.009048 1.506144 2.509823 4.921507 12.785747 85.808429
2025-12-07 0.599202 0.883403 1.389630 2.522831 5.795719 21.891839 3357.972991
2025-12-14 0.514290 0.777549 1.268393 2.451899 6.405093 35.687265 NaN
2025-12-21 0.455614 0.703702 1.184857 2.425127 7.198898 66.553413 NaN
2025-12-28 0.428794 0.681227 1.197512 2.659850 9.684667 338.057708 NaN
2026-01-04 0.399135 0.647326 1.175436 2.785782 12.189064 25944.211208 NaN
2026-01-11 0.367387 0.603917 1.120587 2.777876 13.995235 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.336746 0.558362 1.050756 2.684228 14.969675 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.316930 0.532256 1.022939 2.736440 18.071964 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.302799 0.516000 1.016277 2.873755 23.859938 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.284572 0.489373 0.978881 2.870105 28.177134 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.264826 0.457476 0.922199 2.754281 29.644646 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.254912 0.445968 0.919016 2.896208 41.997247 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.242532 0.427586 0.893149 2.912029 52.488736 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.228877 0.405032 0.851695 2.824525 57.363136 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.217845 0.387477 0.822214 2.791574 67.761917 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.214644 0.387515 0.844734 3.081637 147.598136 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.208667 0.380440 0.844394 3.238383 302.721298 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.200243 0.366799 0.821241 3.228519 467.633679 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.190770 0.349945 0.785583 3.111919 526.934160 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.184868 0.341248 0.775092 3.176875 1322.919795 NaN NaN